Defensores De Belgrano 2-2 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒01:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.44
Over 2.5
30%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.5pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
70%
Under 2.5
66%
+4.8pp
30%
Over 2.5
34%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.0pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -12%
0.90/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.02
-28% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
16.03.2024 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-4 HT 1-2 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
28.06.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
16.11.2019 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-1 HT 2-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano and Chacarita Juniors couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 37% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.67 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Chacarita Juniors?

Defensores De Belgrano 2-2 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 36%, draw 37%, Chacarita Juniors 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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