Filipinler (K) 1-0 Hong Kong (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup Qualifiers, 5 Jul 2025

Filipinler (K)
1-0
Hong Kong (K)
📅05/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Asian Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Filipinler (K) vs Hong Kong (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.11
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Filipinler (K) win — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
66%
Home Win
85%
-19.3pp
20%
Draw
9%
+10.7pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Filipinler (K) v Hong Kong (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Filipinler (K) The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong (K) The Market 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
394 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 168 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Filipinler (K) 1-0 Hong Kong (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Filipinler (K)
1-0
AWAY Hong Kong (K)
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Filipinler (K) vs Hong Kong (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Filipinler (K) nicked a narrow win over Hong Kong (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Filipinler (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Filipinler (K) had 55% of the ball to Hong Kong (K)'s 45%, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of Filipinler (K) vs Hong Kong (K)?

Filipinler (K) 1-0 Hong Kong (K) in the Asian Cup Qualifiers on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Filipinler (K) vs Hong Kong (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Filipinler (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Filipinler (K) 66%, draw 20%, Hong Kong (K) 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Filipinler (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Filipinler (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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