Bourj 2-1 Racing Beirut — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.3pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourj EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Beirut EU Bookmakers 31%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.51/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.12
-49% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourj
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Racing Beirut
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
07.06.2025 Bourj 0-3 HT 0-3 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut LUBN
08.05.2025 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 1-1 HT 0-0 Bourj LUBN
26.02.2025 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 1-0 Bourj LUBN
02.03.2024 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 1-1 Bourj LUBN
POST-MATCH Bourj vs Racing Beirut
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourj squeezed past Racing Beirut 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bourj as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Racing Beirut led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bourj and 1.50 for Racing Beirut.

What was the final score of Bourj vs Racing Beirut?

Bourj 2-1 Racing Beirut in the Lebanon - Premier League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourj vs Racing Beirut?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourj win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bourj 44%, draw 24%, Racing Beirut 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bourj) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bourj) ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
5 Jul 2025
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