Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 Ayacucho FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.44/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.56
+10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
18.7 Crosses 18.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Ayacucho FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
239 Passes 291
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2018 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
17.02.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 HT 0-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
21.08.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 4-0 HT 4-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
27.05.2017 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 5-3 HT 2-3 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
0-1
AWAY Ayacucho FC
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
322 Passes 167
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Ayacucho FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayacucho FC squeezed past Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Comerciantes Unidos at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 62% of the ball to Ayacucho FC's 38%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Comerciantes Unidos had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 2.00 for Ayacucho FC.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Ayacucho FC?

Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 Ayacucho FC in the Peru - Premier League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Ayacucho FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 45%, draw 26%, Ayacucho FC 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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