Cienciano 1-1 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-15.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+12.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.27/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.51
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
22.5 Crosses 13.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.60 xG 1.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
235 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 5-1 HT 1-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.02.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 2-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
23.10.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
02.06.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-2 HT 2-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
11.09.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-1 HT 2-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
23.04.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
1-1
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.89 xG 1.10
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
328 Passes 247
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano and Sporting Cristal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cienciano at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cienciano had 57% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 43%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.89 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cienciano and 2.67 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?

Cienciano 1-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 42%, draw 26%, Sporting Cristal 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cienciano), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cienciano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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