Sporting Cristal 5-1 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.3pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
2.04/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.55
+26% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
23.6 Crosses 13.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cienciano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.65 xG 1.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
355 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 2-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
23.10.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
02.06.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-2 HT 2-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
11.09.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-1 HT 2-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
23.04.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
01.10.2021 Cienciano Cienciano 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
5-1
AWAY Cienciano
2.20 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
29 Total Shots 12
14 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
213 Passes 180
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal ran out comfortable winners over Cienciano 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 53% of the ball to Cienciano's 47%, shots finished 29-12, expected goals 2.20 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.33 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano?

Sporting Cristal 5-1 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 59%, draw 25%, Cienciano 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
27 Jul 2024
02:00 Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys Analysis →
04:30 Universitario vs Alianza Lima Analysis →
23:15 ADT vs Cultural San Analysis →