Universitario vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Universitario v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Universitario vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Universitario
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Universitario
PER
1-2
HT 0-1
Alianza Lima
PER
0-2
HT 0-0
Universitario
PER
Universitario 2-1 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Universitario edged past Alianza Lima 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Universitario had 58% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 42%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.99 to 0.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Universitario and 0.50 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of Universitario vs Alianza Lima?
Universitario 2-1 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Universitario vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Universitario 43%, draw 36%, Alianza Lima 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.