Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 20%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.55/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.45
-13% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 71%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
26.4 Crosses 15.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
261 Passes 247
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
17.08.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 3-0 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
17.03.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
2-0
AWAY Sport Boys
1.27 xG 0.26
30% Ball Possession 70%
19 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
150 Passes 431
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso beat Sport Boys 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Garcilaso as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 30% of the ball to Sport Boys's 70%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.27 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sport Boys led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.33 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?

Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 51%, draw 24%, Sport Boys 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) ✓ BTTS No
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