ADT 2-1 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.33/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.22
-12% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
23.2 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cultural San
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.35 xG 0.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
261 Passes 204
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 2-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
2-1
AWAY Cultural San
1.55 xG 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
287 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADT vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT nicked a narrow win over Cultural San 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, ADT had 48% of the ball to Cultural San's 52%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.55 to 0.67.

What was the final score of ADT vs Cultural San?

ADT 2-1 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split ADT 53%, draw 26%, Cultural San 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADT) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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