Cienciano 2-2 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.26/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.28
-18% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
20.9 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.41 xG 1.68
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
236 Passes 377
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
02.06.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-2 HT 2-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
11.09.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-1 HT 2-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
23.04.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
01.10.2021 Cienciano Cienciano 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
15.09.2020 Cienciano Cienciano 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
2-2
AWAY Sporting Cristal
2.32 xG 1.35
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
275 Passes 207
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 9
36 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano and Sporting Cristal shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cienciano had 56% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 44%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 2.32 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cienciano and 1.67 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?

Cienciano 2-2 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 39%, draw 29%, Sporting Cristal 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cienciano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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