Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-3 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 22%
-20% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-44% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.5 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1-3
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.71 xG 2.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
269 Passes 175
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos saw off Carlos Manucci Trujillo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Carlos Manucci Trujillo at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carlos Manucci Trujillo had 60% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 40%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.71 to 2.50.

What was the final score of Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-3 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carlos Manucci Trujillo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Carlos Manucci Trujillo 50%, draw 28%, Comerciantes Unidos 23%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carlos Manucci Trujillo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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