Melgar vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
3-3
HT 0-2
Melgar
PER
0-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Atletico
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
3-3
HT 2-3
Melgar
PER
1-3
HT 0-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
Melgar 1-0 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar nicked a narrow win over Alianza Atletico 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Melgar had 65% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 35%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.59 to 0.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Melgar and 1.67 for Alianza Atletico.
What was the final score of Melgar vs Alianza Atletico?
Melgar 1-0 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs Alianza Atletico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Melgar 60%, draw 22%, Alianza Atletico 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.