FCSB 2-1 CFR Cluj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - Super Cup, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.36
6+ Goals
10%
22.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 34% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CFR Cluj
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 1.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
339 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 FCSB FCSB 3-2 HT 1-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
02.02.2025 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
15.09.2024 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 2-2 HT 1-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
11.05.2024 FCSB FCSB 0-1 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
14.04.2024 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 0-1 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
10.12.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
2-1
AWAY CFR Cluj
0.90 xG 1.13
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
363 Passes 250
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FCSB vs CFR Cluj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB squeezed past CFR Cluj 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FCSB had 57% of the ball to CFR Cluj's 43%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.90 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FCSB and 1.17 for CFR Cluj.

What was the final score of FCSB vs CFR Cluj?

FCSB 2-1 CFR Cluj in the Romania - Super Cup on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs CFR Cluj?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FCSB 43%, draw 27%, CFR Cluj 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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