Guangxi Hengchen 3-1 Dalian Huayi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
7%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 32% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Huayi EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.42/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.99
+31% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 70%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
17.7 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Hengchen
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Dalian Huayi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.33 xG 0.62
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 12
293 Passes 173
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
11 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen 0-2 Dalian Huayi Dalian Huayi ÇİN2
24.08.2024 Dalian Huayi Dalian Huayi 1-0 HT 1-0 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Hengchen
3-1
AWAY Dalian Huayi
3.16 xG 0.86
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
528 Passes 137
57 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Guangxi Hengchen vs Dalian Huayi
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Guangxi Hengchen beat Dalian Huayi 3-1 in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 5 Jul 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 3.16 to 0.86.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dalian Huayi lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Guangxi Hengchen and 1.50 for Dalian Huayi.

What was the final score of Guangxi Hengchen vs Dalian Huayi?

Guangxi Hengchen 3-1 Dalian Huayi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Hengchen vs Dalian Huayi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Hengchen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Hengchen 48%, draw 29%, Dalian Huayi 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) ✗ Under 2.5
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