Dalian Huayi 1-0 Guangxi Hengchen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.2pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Huayi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.13/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.16
+48% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
13.5 Crosses 7.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Huayi
1-0
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
0.62 xG 0.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
173 Passes 293
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi Hengchen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Huayi edged past Guangxi Hengchen 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Dalian Huayi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Dalian Huayi had 43% of the ball to Guangxi Hengchen's 57%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.62 to 0.33.

What was the final score of Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Dalian Huayi 1-0 Guangxi Hengchen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Huayi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dalian Huayi 39%, draw 34%, Guangxi Hengchen 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Huayi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Huayi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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