Shaanxi Union 1-1 Hunan Billows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shaanxi Union EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hunan Billows EU Bookmakers 25%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.78/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/0.44
-9% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
15.5 Crosses 9.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shaanxi Union
1-1
AWAY Hunan Billows
1.59 xG 0.79
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
251 Passes 136
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shaanxi Union vs Hunan Billows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shaanxi Union and Hunan Billows couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shaanxi Union at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Shaanxi Union had 62% of the ball to Hunan Billows's 38%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.59 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Shaanxi Union vs Hunan Billows?

Shaanxi Union 1-1 Hunan Billows in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shaanxi Union vs Hunan Billows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shaanxi Union win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Shaanxi Union 48%, draw 27%, Hunan Billows 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shaanxi Union) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shaanxi Union) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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