Hainan Star 2-2 Taian Tiankuang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Taian Tiankuang EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hainan Star
2-2
AWAY Taian Tiankuang
1.71 xG 0.38
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
139 Passes 95
61% Pass Accuracy 56%
13 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hainan Star vs Taian Tiankuang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hainan Star and Taian Tiankuang shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hainan Star at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hainan Star had 59% of the ball to Taian Tiankuang's 41%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.71 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Hainan Star vs Taian Tiankuang?

Hainan Star 2-2 Taian Tiankuang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hainan Star vs Taian Tiankuang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hainan Star win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hainan Star 43%, draw 29%, Taian Tiankuang 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hainan Star) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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