La Serena 2-4 Antofagasta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Antofagasta EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.29/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.89
+54% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -94% / -53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
225 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 78%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
24.5 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Antofagasta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.21
55% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
294 Passes 219
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2026 Antofagasta Antofagasta 4-2 HT 2-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİK
04.06.2023 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 1-0 Antofagasta Antofagasta ŞİLİB
17.07.2022 La Serena La Serena 0-1 HT 0-0 Antofagasta Antofagasta ŞİL
20.02.2022 Antofagasta Antofagasta 2-2 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
09.11.2021 Antofagasta Antofagasta 0-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
02.08.2021 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 0-0 Antofagasta Antofagasta ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
2-4
AWAY Antofagasta
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 0
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Antofagasta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antofagasta saw off La Serena 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was La Serena at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antofagasta led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for La Serena and 1.50 for Antofagasta.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Antofagasta?

La Serena 2-4 Antofagasta in the Chile - Cup on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Antofagasta?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Serena win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split La Serena 48%, draw 22%, Antofagasta 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (La Serena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Serena) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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