JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.33/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.69
-19% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +133%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2026 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-0 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
22.10.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-2 HT 2-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
31.08.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 3-0 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
13.06.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
18.04.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 4-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
10.11.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
2-1
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu nicked a narrow win over Harju Jalgpallikool 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JK Tammeka Tartu as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JK Tammeka Tartu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 1.50 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 44%, draw 25%, Harju Jalgpallikool 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ BTTS Yes
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