Harju Jalgpallikool 4-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 Apr 2025

Harju Jalgpallikool
4-1 HT 0-1
JK Tammeka Tartu
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Estonia - Premium League – 2025

Harju Jalgpallikool vs JK Tammeka Tartu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.53
No
55%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.4pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
61%
-16.0pp
55%
BTTS No
39%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Harju Jalgpallikool v JK Tammeka Tartu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 40%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.02/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.59
-36% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
347 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Harju Jalgpallikool vs JK Tammeka Tartu Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
1W-0D-4L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.11.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
09.07.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 3-0 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
07.06.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
23.04.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-3 HT 2-2 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
18.10.2022 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 5-2 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool ESTK

Harju Jalgpallikool 4-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
4-1
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool cruised past JK Tammeka Tartu 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 19% / 42%) promised a tight game; Harju Jalgpallikool found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 57% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 43%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, JK Tammeka Tartu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 2.40 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Harju Jalgpallikool 4-1 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated an JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 39%, draw 19%, JK Tammeka Tartu 42%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
18 Apr 2025
14:30 FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond Analysis →
17:00 FC Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus Analysis →