FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.72/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.70
+12% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
230 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
20.10.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.06.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
17.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-3 HT 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
16.03.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
28.10.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
1-0
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn squeezed past Paide Linnameeskond 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; FC Flora Tallinn found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 39% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 61%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.67 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond?

FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 36%, draw 28%, Paide Linnameeskond 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ BTTS Yes
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