FC Flora Tallinn 1-3 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.0pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.65/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.67
+13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
28.10.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
07.07.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
07.06.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
29.04.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
26.02.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
1-3
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond saw off FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was FC Flora Tallinn at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 37% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 63%, shots finished 5-26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.17 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond?

FC Flora Tallinn 1-3 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 43%, draw 21%, Paide Linnameeskond 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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