Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
15%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.5pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.23/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.91
-14% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +55%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
17.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-3 HT 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
16.03.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
28.10.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
07.07.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
07.06.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2-1
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond nicked a narrow win over FC Flora Tallinn 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 39% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 61%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.00 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 51%, draw 19%, FC Flora Tallinn 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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