Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.37/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.08
+25% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Trans Narva
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-2 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 4-1 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
09.03.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
21.10.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
05.08.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
20.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2-2
AWAY Trans Narva
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju and Trans Narva shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nomme JK Kalju at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 52% of the ball to Trans Narva's 48%, shots finished 23-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.33 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva?

Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 50%, draw 24%, Trans Narva 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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