Trans Narva 2-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.37/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.84
+4% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +60%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 4-1 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
09.03.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
21.10.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
05.08.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
20.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
01.04.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
2-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva and Nomme JK Kalju couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Trans Narva had 35% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 65%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trans Narva and 2.17 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Trans Narva 2-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 33%, draw 27%, Nomme JK Kalju 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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