Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.14/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.48
-21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Nomme United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 2-1 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
26.04.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
2-0
AWAY Nomme United
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus got the better of Nomme United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Parnu JK Vaprus as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 56% of the ball to Nomme United's 44%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.50 for Nomme United.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme United?

Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 50%, draw 25%, Nomme United 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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