Nomme United 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 31 May 2024

Nomme United
2-1 HT 1-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
📅31/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Estonia - Premium League – 2024

Nomme United vs Parnu JK Vaprus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-8.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.8pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nomme United v Parnu JK Vaprus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 48%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.51/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.46
-63% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Nomme United vs Parnu JK Vaprus Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.04.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1

Nomme United 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
2-1
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme United squeezed past Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Nomme United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nomme United had 38% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 62%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Nomme United 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 35%, draw 30%, Parnu JK Vaprus 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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