Chabab Mohammedia 4-3 KAC Kenitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY KAC Kenitra EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -22%
0.38/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.30
-67% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
272 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Mohammedia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY KAC Kenitra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2026 KAC Kenitra KAC Kenitra 0-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS2
POST-MATCH Chabab Mohammedia vs KAC Kenitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chabab Mohammedia nicked a narrow win over KAC Kenitra 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chabab Mohammedia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Chabab Mohammedia vs KAC Kenitra?

Chabab Mohammedia 4-3 KAC Kenitra in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Mohammedia vs KAC Kenitra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chabab Mohammedia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chabab Mohammedia 42%, draw 33%, KAC Kenitra 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chabab Mohammedia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chabab Mohammedia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAS2 More Morocco - Botola 2
5 Jul 2026
18:00 JS Soualem vs Chabab Ben Guerir Analysis →
18:00 JSM Laayoune vs Raja Beni Mellal Analysis →
18:00 US Boujaad vs Racing De Casablanca Analysis →
18:00 Widad Temara vs USM Oujda Analysis →
18:00 Mouloudia Oujda vs Wydad Fes Analysis →
18:00 Moghreb Tetouan vs Stade Marocain Analysis →