Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 Stade Marocain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Marocain EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +3%
1.36/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.11
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Stade Marocain
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.02.2026 Stade Marocain 2-2 HT 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS2
28.03.2024 Stade Marocain 0-4 HT 0-2 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FASK
POST-MATCH Moghreb Tetouan vs Stade Marocain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moghreb Tetouan nicked a narrow win over Stade Marocain 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moghreb Tetouan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Moghreb Tetouan had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Moghreb Tetouan and 1.00 for Stade Marocain.

What was the final score of Moghreb Tetouan vs Stade Marocain?

Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 Stade Marocain in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moghreb Tetouan vs Stade Marocain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moghreb Tetouan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Moghreb Tetouan 49%, draw 27%, Stade Marocain 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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