Supra du Québec 1-2 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-6.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Supra du Québec EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 58%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.91/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.02
-100% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +26%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
21.0 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Supra du Québec
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Forge
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.66 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
427 Passes 318
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 33
7 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.05.2026 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 0-0 Supra du Québec KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Supra du Québec
1-2
AWAY Forge
0.79 xG 2.05
12 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
424 Passes 352
14 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Supra du Québec vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge edged past Supra du Québec 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.79 to 2.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Forge's control.

What was the final score of Supra du Québec vs Forge?

Supra du Québec 1-2 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Supra du Québec vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Supra du Québec 25%, draw 28%, Forge 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KAPL More Kanada - Premier League
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