Atyrau 1-2 Kaspyi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 5 Jul 2026

Atyrau
1-2 HT 1-1
Kaspyi
📅05/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2026

Atyrau vs Kaspyi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atyrau v Kaspyi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaspyi EU Bookmakers 25%
-14% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.16/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.05
-14% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +34%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
405 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Atyrau vs Kaspyi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kaspyi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
27.06.2026 Kaspyi Kaspyi 2-0 HT 2-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
12.08.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
07.05.2023 Kaspyi Kaspyi 1-1 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
04.09.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 3-2 HT 0-1 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
16.04.2022 Kaspyi Kaspyi 2-1 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
18.09.2021 Kaspyi Kaspyi 2-1 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs Kaspyi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaspyi squeezed past Atyrau 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atyrau at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaspyi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atyrau and 1.50 for Kaspyi.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs Kaspyi?

Atyrau 1-2 Kaspyi in the Kazakistan - Super League on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Kaspyi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atyrau win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 52%, draw 26%, Kaspyi 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atyrau), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atyrau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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