Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 Ulytau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.32
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
71%
+3.5pp
15%
Draw
18%
-2.9pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulytau EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.12/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/2.05
-6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ulytau
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.06.2026 Ulytau 0-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
24.08.2025 Ulytau 2-1 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
24.05.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 0-1 HT 0-1 Ulytau KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Ulytau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent edged past Ulytau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ulytau led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.00 for Ulytau.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Ulytau?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 Ulytau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Ulytau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 75%, draw 15%, Ulytau 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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