Ukrayna U19 1-0 İtalya U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 5 Jul 2026

Ukrayna U19
1-0 HT 1-0
İtalya U19
📅05/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
European U19 – 2026

Ukrayna U19 vs İtalya U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ukrayna U19 v İtalya U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna U19 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya U19 EU Bookmakers 56%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.54/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.17
+87% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +85%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
13.2 Crosses 32.0
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Ukrayna U19 vs İtalya U19 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ukrayna U19
1W-0D-1L
AWAY İtalya U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.54 xG 1.28
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
146 Passes 431
61% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.07.2024 Ukrayna U19 Ukrayna U19 3-2 HT 1-1 İtalya U19 İtalya U19 U19
23.03.2019 İtalya U19 İtalya U19 3-1 HT 2-1 Ukrayna U19 Ukrayna U19 U19
POST-MATCH Ukrayna U19 vs İtalya U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna U19 edged past İtalya U19 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was İtalya U19 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ukrayna U19 and 2.50 for İtalya U19.

What was the final score of Ukrayna U19 vs İtalya U19?

Ukrayna U19 1-0 İtalya U19 in the European U19 on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna U19 vs İtalya U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an İtalya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna U19 27%, draw 25%, İtalya U19 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (İtalya U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İtalya U19) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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