Lunds BK 4-2 Angelholm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.2pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Angelholm EU Bookmakers 20%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +20%
2.08/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.08
-4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lunds BK
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Angelholm
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Angelholm Angelholm 1-1 HT 1-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
15.09.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-2 HT 0-1 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
26.05.2023 Angelholm Angelholm 0-2 HT 0-1 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
14.10.2022 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
01.08.2022 Angelholm Angelholm 3-1 HT 2-1 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lunds BK
4-2
AWAY Angelholm
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lunds BK vs Angelholm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lunds BK beat Angelholm 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lunds BK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lunds BK had 53% of the ball to Angelholm's 47%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Angelholm led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Lunds BK and 1.40 for Angelholm.

What was the final score of Lunds BK vs Angelholm?

Lunds BK 4-2 Angelholm in the Sweden - 1st Division on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lunds BK vs Angelholm?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lunds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lunds BK 50%, draw 30%, Angelholm 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lunds BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lunds BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
5 Aug 2024
20:00 Ljungskile vs Norrby IF Analysis →