Santa Cruz 2-2 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 5 Aug 2024

Santa Cruz
2-2 HT 2-1
Aurora
📅05/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Santa Cruz vs Aurora Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.5pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Cruz v Aurora — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.93/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.80
-30% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.6 Crosses 17.6
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Santa Cruz vs Aurora Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aurora
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.12 xG 1.70
44% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
187 Passes 278
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.10.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
17.04.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
14.10.2022 Aurora Aurora 1-2 HT 1-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
12.05.2022 Aurora Aurora 2-4 HT 1-2 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
06.03.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-2 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
07.11.2021 Aurora Aurora 4-1 HT 1-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ

Santa Cruz 2-2 Aurora — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
2-2
AWAY Aurora
1.46 xG 0.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
181 Passes 310
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Cruz and Aurora shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 41% of the ball to Aurora's 59%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.46 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Cruz had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Santa Cruz and 1.83 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Aurora?

Santa Cruz 2-2 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 31%, draw 31%, Aurora 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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