Novorizontino 2-1 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.41
Over 2.5
38%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
18%
6.83
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
67%
-5.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
33%
+5.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.0pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.28/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.21
+0% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
24.0 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
2-1
AWAY Goias
0.94 xG 1.10
38% Ball Possession 62%
18 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
203 Passes 431
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino squeezed past Goias 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novorizontino had 38% of the ball to Goias's 62%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 0.94 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Goias?

Novorizontino 2-1 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 41%, draw 30%, Goias 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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