Operario PR 2-0 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.38
Over 2.5
37%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
16%
6.97
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.7pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.07/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.33
-27% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
22.5 Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CRB
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 0.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
330 Passes 276
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2022 CRB CRB 2-1 HT 1-1 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
06.07.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 2-3 HT 2-2 CRB CRB BR2
28.11.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 2-0 CRB CRB BR2
19.08.2021 CRB CRB 0-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
15.01.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 3-2 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
18.10.2020 CRB CRB 4-1 HT 1-1 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
2-0
AWAY CRB
0.71 xG 0.10
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
233 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 5
16 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR beat CRB 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Operario PR found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Operario PR had 45% of the ball to CRB's 55%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 0.71 to 0.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Operario PR and 2.00 for CRB.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs CRB?

Operario PR 2-0 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 39%, draw 30%, CRB 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario PR), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Operario PR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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