Once Deportivo 1-2 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.9pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +22%
0.95/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.16
-26% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Deportivo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
31.03.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-2 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
22.01.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
20.10.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 2-1 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
24.08.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
26.03.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
27.01.2022 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 3-2 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Once Deportivo vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno edged past Once Deportivo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and on the day Municipal Limeno made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Deportivo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Once Deportivo and 1.17 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Once Deportivo vs Municipal Limeno?

Once Deportivo 1-2 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Deportivo vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Once Deportivo 40%, draw 34%, Municipal Limeno 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Once Deportivo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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