Fuerte San Francisco 2-2 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.05/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.79
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
0W-1D-3L
AWAY FAS
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
25.02.2024 FAS FAS 1-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
20.10.2023 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
25.08.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-3 HT 0-3 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco and FAS couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was FAS at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FAS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.50 for FAS.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS?

Fuerte San Francisco 2-2 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated an FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 32%, draw 27%, FAS 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FAS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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