FAS 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.22
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
421 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
25.08.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-3 HT 0-3 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS nicked a narrow win over Fuerte San Francisco 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FAS as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FAS had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FAS and 0.50 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco?

FAS 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FAS 48%, draw 32%, Fuerte San Francisco 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FAS), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FAS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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