Jocoro 1-0 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
49%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
49%
Away Win
41%
+7.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jocoro EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 45%
+20% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.49/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.36
+31% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jocoro
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 2-1 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
21.09.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-1 HT 0-1 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
09.04.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 1-1 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
12.02.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 3-0 HT 2-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
31.10.2022 Jocoro Jocoro 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
28.10.2022 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-1 HT 1-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
POST-MATCH Jocoro vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jocoro nicked a narrow win over Isidro Metapan 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Isidro Metapan at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jocoro and 1.17 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Jocoro vs Isidro Metapan?

Jocoro 1-0 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jocoro vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jocoro 28%, draw 24%, Isidro Metapan 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Isidro Metapan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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