Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Samtredia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
78%
-6.4pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.4pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Samtredia EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
2.96/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.50
+15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -6%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
474 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Samtredia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Samtredia Samtredia 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
02.03.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 4-1 HT 3-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
21.10.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0 HT 1-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
14.08.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 2-3 HT 1-2 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
06.05.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
08.03.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 0-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
2-1
AWAY Samtredia
64% Ball Possession 36%
29 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samtredia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi squeezed past Samtredia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 64% of the ball to Samtredia's 36%, shots finished 29-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.50 for Samtredia.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samtredia?

Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Samtredia in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samtredia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 71%, draw 17%, Samtredia 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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