Torpedo Kutaisi 4-1 Samtredia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
30%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
72%
-18.2pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.8pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.3pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Samtredia EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
2.90/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.35
+14% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Samtredia
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0 HT 1-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
14.08.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 2-3 HT 1-2 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
06.05.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
08.03.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 0-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
21.11.2021 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 4-1 HT 2-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
20.09.2021 Samtredia Samtredia 4-1 HT 2-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
4-1
AWAY Samtredia
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samtredia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi swept aside Samtredia 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 70% of the ball to Samtredia's 30%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.17 for Samtredia.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samtredia?

Torpedo Kutaisi 4-1 Samtredia in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samtredia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 54%, draw 24%, Samtredia 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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