Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
2.23/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.89
+8% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Samgurali
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.10.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
25.10.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GURCK
19.08.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 5-2 HT 2-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
10.05.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 2-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
13.03.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
26.11.2022 Samgurali Samgurali 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
2-0
AWAY Samgurali
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi got the better of Samgurali 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Tbilisi as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 48% of the ball to Samgurali's 52%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.00 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 54%, draw 24%, Samgurali 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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