Saburtalo 1-0 Telavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 2 Mar 2024

Saburtalo
1-0 HT 1-0
Telavi
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga – 2024

Saburtalo vs Telavi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saburtalo v Telavi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Telavi EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.41/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.43
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Saburtalo vs Telavi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Telavi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Telavi Telavi 3-0 HT 2-0 Saburtalo GUR
24.09.2023 Saburtalo 0-1 HT 0-1 Telavi Telavi GUR
30.07.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GURCK
28.05.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-3 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
13.04.2023 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 2-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
03.12.2022 Saburtalo 0-1 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR

Saburtalo 1-0 Telavi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-0
AWAY Telavi
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Telavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo nicked a narrow win over Telavi 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Saburtalo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Saburtalo had 52% of the ball to Telavi's 48%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Saburtalo and 0.83 for Telavi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Telavi?

Saburtalo 1-0 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Telavi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 40%, draw 28%, Telavi 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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