Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 Nafta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-13.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.8pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nafta EU Bookmakers 12%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Nafta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2023 Nafta Nafta 1-3 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVNK
28.04.2021 Nafta Nafta 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2-0
AWAY Nafta
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana beat Nafta 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 66% of the ball to Nafta's 34%, shots finished 22-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.50 for Nafta.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta?

Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 Nafta in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 60%, draw 22%, Nafta 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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