Dynamo Kiev 0-1 Pafos FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 5 Aug 2025

📅05/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Pafos FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
5.55/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+150% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev
0-1
AWAY Pafos FC
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Pafos FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pafos FC squeezed past Dynamo Kiev 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Dynamo Kiev carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dynamo Kiev had 58% of the ball to Pafos FC's 42%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Pafos FC?

Dynamo Kiev 0-1 Pafos FC in the Champions League on 05/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Pafos FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 56%, draw 23%, Pafos FC 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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