Shkendija 79 0-1 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 5 Aug 2025

📅05/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
56%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 29% vs market 27.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
56%
Away Win
54%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shkendija 79 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shkendija 79
0-1
AWAY Karabağ
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shkendija 79 vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ nicked a narrow win over Shkendija 79 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Shkendija 79 had 47% of the ball to Karabağ's 53%, shots finished 17-22.

What was the final score of Shkendija 79 vs Karabağ?

Shkendija 79 0-1 Karabağ in the Champions League on 05/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shkendija 79 vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shkendija 79 22%, draw 22%, Karabağ 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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