Athletic Club 1-1 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 5 Aug 2025

📅05/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.66/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.37
+62% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.2 Crosses 18.2
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Club
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
2.13 xG 1.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
304 Passes 247
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2025 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 4-2 HT 1-1 Athletic Club BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
1-1
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.60 xG 0.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 341
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club and Atletico Goianiense shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Club at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Athletic Club had 50% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 50%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.60 to 0.43.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Atletico Goianiense?

Athletic Club 1-1 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 46%, draw 27%, Atletico Goianiense 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Club), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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