Stal Stalowa Wola 3-1 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 5 Aug 2025

📅05/08/2025 · 🕒20:38 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.59
Over 2.5
45%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.63
No
57%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.28
2-3 Goals
46%
1.97
4-5 Goals
20%
2.52
6+ Goals
10%
5.84
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.28 — our 24% vs market 13.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.3pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
35%
+19.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
65%
-19.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
57%
-14.6pp
57%
BTTS No
43%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 19%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+88% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
312 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
3W-1D-2L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-2 HT 0-1 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
10.05.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 3-1 HT 1-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
05.11.2023 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 1-2 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
27.10.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 HT 0-1 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
13.06.2020 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 1-2 HT 0-2 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
07.09.2019 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
3-1
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola saw off SKRA Czestochowa 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stal Stalowa Wola as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 66% of the ball to SKRA Czestochowa's 34%, shots finished 26-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stal Stalowa Wola had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stal Stalowa Wola and 1.00 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Stal Stalowa Wola 3-1 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - Cup on 05/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 57%, draw 21%, SKRA Czestochowa 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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